Sprint planning follows a familiar ritual.
The team has 100 story points of capacity. They commit to 100 story points of work.
Theoretically, this should work perfectly. In practice, it never does.
A P1 bug requires immediate attention. A customer escalation needs investigation.
A security researcher reports a vulnerability. The CEO asks for 'a quick demo' of something not on the roadmap.
None of this was planned. All of it is urgent.
The planned work doesn't disappear—it just slips. The sprint commitments break.
The roadmap adjusts. Stakeholders are disappointed.
The team feels like they failed even though they worked hard on legitimately important things. This cycle repeats every sprint because teams plan as if unexpected work won't happen.
But it always happens. Studies suggest 20-40% of engineering time goes to unplanned work.
Planning at 100% capacity guarantees failure. It's not pessimistic to plan for interruptions—it's realistic.
Teams that reserve capacity for the unexpected deliver more reliably than teams that plan optimistically and constantly fail to meet commitments.
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